Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 9.057599 10.502688 12.054437 13.838906 15.828400 17.972363 20.451434
2025-05-04 7.231887 9.109057 11.254260 13.867572 16.944512 20.431291 24.659241
2025-05-11 5.681174 7.707467 10.153932 13.285507 17.144844 21.701482 27.440473
2025-05-18 4.703748 6.819621 9.501006 13.082606 17.669320 23.271172 30.546909
2025-05-25 3.910881 6.038934 8.860799 12.779972 17.975117 24.512529 33.233562
2025-06-01 3.329023 5.453399 8.391062 12.618041 18.396166 25.860479 36.051538
2025-06-08 2.804318 4.872698 7.853504 12.291771 18.538674 26.809525 38.346926
2025-06-15 2.485699 4.552635 7.641955 12.380343 19.218446 28.462056 41.589944
2025-06-22 2.172386 4.197423 7.336940 12.295585 19.627989 29.740183 44.349891
2025-06-29 1.957865 3.973297 7.203432 12.440651 20.353261 31.458066 47.741746
2025-07-06 1.773091 3.774609 7.086767 12.592379 21.080155 33.187532 51.186352
2025-07-13 1.654663 3.676965 7.120012 12.969527 22.146868 35.422381 55.390245
2025-07-20 1.521350 3.537763 7.074542 13.220589 23.037788 37.442336 59.366194
2025-07-27 1.359873 3.323432 6.880384 13.212584 23.521029 38.873840 62.530910
2025-08-03 1.133988 2.948526 6.368596 12.638027 23.079161 38.907611 63.654675
2025-08-10 0.989318 2.718257 6.092604 12.436911 23.210256 39.789298 66.028609
2025-08-17 0.851649 2.480924 5.778893 12.143719 23.168419 40.393686 67.992466
2025-08-24 0.746526 2.299627 5.553382 11.987182 23.336392 41.315690 70.444696
2025-08-31 0.638554 2.092457 5.254882 11.673591 23.218068 41.775796 72.194802
2025-09-07 0.580202 1.998163 5.175690 11.758393 23.777399 43.316442 75.631370
2025-09-14 0.513904 1.871416 5.015640 11.676975 24.039873 44.383101 78.351940
2025-09-21 0.471746 1.802466 4.972471 11.816151 24.691577 46.091934 82.109230
2025-09-28 0.433885 1.738914 4.934753 11.961755 25.356866 47.836442 85.956533